2024 Presidential Polls Swing States. Assuming trump’s polling leads in arizona, georgia and nevada sustain through november, biden would have to win all three rust belt swing states, plus a portion of. The average methodology is summarized below the table.
That’s the smallest gap since the poll began last. Nationally, according to a new abc news/ washington post /ipsos poll released thursday, if harris replaces biden on the democratic presidential ticket, she would lead trump in.